Photo: David Kadlubowski/The Republic/azc Deadly heat wave: In 2005, 20 deaths were attributed to a July heat wave. Temperatures weren't record-setting, but highs consistently topped 110 degrees and lows didn't dip below the 90s. Heat advisories and excessive-heat warnings lasted for more than a week. Many of the victims were homeless but the dead also included a 37-year-old man found in his vehicle, a 66-year-old man found outside his home and three elderly women found inside their homes. A 97-year-old Mesa man died inside his home, where the temperature had reached 110 degrees. His wife, who was also in the home, survived.

Summer is coming. The coronavirus is staying. One-hundred-degree temperatures are already here. Before it gets hotter, we need a plan to help people self-isolating in homes they cannot keep cool.

In 2017, a record 264 heat-related deaths occurred in Arizona. If we act swiftly, we can stop the coronavirus from breaking the record.

We are heat and housing researchers from the University of Arizona and Arizona State University sounding the alarm. In the coming weeks and months, we see catastrophe ahead for too many Arizonans for whom the coronavirus will make it nearly impossible to escape the heat.

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Most households take for granted their ability to beat the heat by simply staying inside. But, for many staying home does not necessarily mean cooling off especially for those with little or no control over the inside temperature of homes.

These are people struggling to pay utility bills, with little insulation or without air conditioning. In normal times, they would have places to escape to malls, librariesand restaurants. These are no longeroptions. Even some public cooling centers are grappling with whether and how to open.

In Arizona and across the country, there are stark inequalities in household capacity to adapt to extreme heat, and COVID-19 will expose and compound these disparities. The impacts of this wicked mixture of insecure housing, pandemic disease and extreme heat will be experienced differently according to income, age, race, and something that is often overlooked housing type.

Even as the state re-opens, vulnerable people will still need to stay home, and Social distancing will be with us through the summer, according to the White House. For hundreds of thousands of Arizonans, staying home will mean staying in a home built in a factory, commonly referred to as a manufactured or mobile home.

Despite the persistence of worn-out stigmas and stereotypes about trailer parks,manufactured housing is a good-quality, energy-efficient and essential source of affordable housing in our state. For many it offers a high quality of life at low cost that allows residents to raise their families and age in place in social and supportive environments.

Nevertheless, our research suggests that in Arizona, and in most sunbelt states, the mixture of heat, housing and the coronavirus is likely to be particularly challenging for those communities, where multiple risk factors converge.

These factors intersect most hazardously in the one-third of units in Maricopa and Pima counties built before national building standards were enacted in 1976, with meager insulation and dangerous wiring. These homes are often substandard and prohibitively expensive to cool.

This is particularly true in manufactured home parks where shade is scarce but concrete and asphalt are abundant. These materials absorb heat and slowly release it in the evening, elevating temperatures through the night.Even with air-conditioning, residents struggle to lower temperatures below 90 degrees.

Consider Tanya, a stroke survivor, whose home we measured last summer at 111 degrees, or 97-year-old Albert, whose broken swamp cooler leaked through the ceiling where he sat in front of two fans.

What do you do when it is dangerously hot in your house, even hotter outside, and there is nowhere to go? The coronavirus has limited the options for people like Tanya and Albert, and finding safe ways to provide thermal relief is a matter of life and death.

Manufactured home residents are already over-represented among indoor heat-related deaths. In Maricopa County, 4.9%of housing units are manufactured homes, but they are the scene for 27.5%of indoor heat-associated deaths. Similar patterns likely exist in Pima County, where heat-morbidity data is less available, but climate conditions are similar, the population is poorer, and the proportion of manufactured housing is twice as high.

Many residents of thermally compromised homes are heat-sensitive seniors at highest risk of severe illness from both the coronavirus and heat exposure.

While only 15.7%of Phoenix residents are 65 or older, they make up 59%of those who died indoors from heat-related causes, and head half of all manufactured home households. They also account for more than three-quarters of coronavirus deaths in the state. The people who most need the protection of their homesare the ones most likely to die inside them.

Of the residents we spoke to in Tucson, 40%struggle to make housing-related payments.Keeping the AC running may offer respite from the heat, but not from collection agencies. In Arizona, where utility bills are already 6%higher than the national average, a home-bound summer will drive up energy-costs further.

Even before millions lost their jobs and were told to stay home a sixth of our interviewees were spending at least 60%of their income on housing-related expenses.

The picture is grim, but there is much that can be done and reason to hope.

We all need to pick up the telephoneand take advantage of other technologies to get in touch with family, friends, and neighbors. Too many of the tragic stories of Arizonans who die from heat involve individuals living alone.

More than ever before, this summer it will be worth the extra effort to reach out to those with whom we have grown distant. Their life might depend on it.

Long after the coronavirus is gone, the extreme heat experienced by the marginally housed this summer will persist heat waves will get longer, nighttime temperatures will rise, and we will live more of our lives above 100 degrees.

By addressing immediate cooling needs through shade, solar and insulation, we can create lasting solutions to the sustainability challenges of manufactured housing. Let us tackle this crisis by investing in solutions that will yield environmental, social and economic dividends for years to come.

Mark Kear andMargaret Wilder workat the University of Arizona.Patricia Sols, David Hondula, and Mark Bernstein work at Arizona State University.

This article originally appeared on Arizona Republic: Self-isolating from COVID-19 in a mobile home? That could be deadly in Arizona

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Self-isolating from COVID-19 in a mobile home? That could be deadly in Arizona - msnNOW

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