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Ahead of the expected Cabinet re-shuffle tomorrow, Harry McGee gives his predictions for the likely winners and losers. Video: Daniel O' Connor

Predicting the outcome of Enda Kenny and Joan Burtons deliberations on the Cabinet is like asking a person who doesnt know the difference between a mule and a pony to predict the outcome of the Grand National.

Of course, that doesnt stop any of the paid-up political anoraks from doing it or from taking a flutter.

From the moment this new Coalition was formed in 2011, those close to Kenny were saying that all his instincts were very like Bertie Aherns when it came to reshuffles - minimalistic, cautious, reluctant to sack loyal colleagues. Kennys approach was said to have been tempered by his experience of the 1980s when an attempted shake-up by then taoiseach Garret FitzGerald backfired badly.

But then circumstances change and sometimes the political realities - or the political facts on the ground, to use the more fashionable phrase - dictate a new approach. Hence, the view that has formed that the reshuffle will be more extensive that we would have thought a few years ago.

In some ways, that thinking may be influenced by the Labour side of Government where there will be more action. The reasons for that, naturally enough, is that the party has a new leader and there is no stronger means of leaving your mark as a new leader than to clear out the old guard and replace them with those you rate most highly.

So three of the five seats on the Labour side will change. But how many will change on the Fine Gael side?

Well, the departure of Alan Shatter - and his replacement by Charlie Flanagan - counts as one. And Enda Kenny will effect a further two changes at most... but possibly only one.

If there is one, it means nobody in Cabinet is getting fired (remember the score cards?) and Jimmy Deenihan - a veteran in a junior ministry - will retain a position. The only vacancy will arise from Phil Hogan going to Europe.

In that scenario, it will be odds on for Paschal Donohoe to be promoted and get the rejigged Arts and Heritage department, renamed Defence and Public Works possibly, with Deenihan moving elsewhere.

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Which Ministers can make it over Bechers Brook?

Ahead of the expected Cabinet re-shuffle tomorrow, Harry McGee gives his predictions for the likely winners and losers. Video: Daniel O' Connor

Predicting the outcome of Enda Kenny and Joan Burtons deliberations on the Cabinet is like asking a person who doesnt know the difference between a mule and a pony to predict the outcome of the Grand National.

Of course, that doesnt stop any of the paid-up political anoraks from doing it or from taking a flutter.

From the moment this new Coalition was formed in 2011, those close to Kenny were saying that all his instincts were very like Bertie Aherns when it came to reshuffles - minimalistic, cautious, reluctant to sack loyal colleagues. Kennys approach was said to have been tempered by his experience of the 1980s when an attempted shake-up by then taoiseach Garret FitzGerald backfired badly.

But then circumstances change and sometimes the political realities - or the political facts on the ground, to use the more fashionable phrase - dictate a new approach. Hence, the view that has formed that the reshuffle will be more extensive that we would have thought a few years ago.

In some ways, that thinking may be influenced by the Labour side of Government where there will be more action. The reasons for that, naturally enough, is that the party has a new leader and there is no stronger means of leaving your mark as a new leader than to clear out the old guard and replace them with those you rate most highly.

So three of the five seats on the Labour side will change. But how many will change on the Fine Gael side?

Well, the departure of Alan Shatter - and his replacement by Charlie Flanagan - counts as one. And Enda Kenny will effect a further two changes at most... but possibly only one.

If there is one, it means nobody in Cabinet is getting fired (remember the score cards?) and Jimmy Deenihan - a veteran in a junior ministry - will retain a position. The only vacancy will arise from Phil Hogan going to Europe.

In that scenario, it will be odds on for Paschal Donohoe to be promoted and get the rejigged Arts and Heritage department, renamed Defence and Public Works possibly, with Deenihan moving elsewhere.

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Which Fine Gael and Labour Ministers can make it over Bechers Brook?

Defence Minister Jonathan Coleman says the Government has given approval for the NZDF to seek a replacement for the naval tanker HMNZS Endeavour.

"To operate effectively the NZDF needs to provide fuel and logistical support to its deployed ships, helicopters and vehicles," says Dr Coleman.

"This capability is crucial given New Zealands vast maritime area, and our security and disaster relief responsibilities in the South Pacific. Without it NZDF operations would be limited in duration or dependent on our partners.

"The new tanker will be a significant enhancement in capability. It will increase the NZDFs ability to support and sustain Navy, Army and Air Force operations at home and further afield.

"The tanker will be able to store a large amount of fuel, including aviation fuel, store supplies and ammunition, and accommodate an NH90 or Seasprite helicopter.

"This capability is needed as the NZDF has more ships which can embark new helicopters, and it is crucial that the tanker can support the Joint Task Force as set out in the 2010 Defence White Paper.

"Possible winterisation features will also be considered which could enable the tanker to resupply bases in Antarctica."

HMNZS Endeavour will reach the end of her service life in 2018. Maintenance costs are increasing, and the vessel will face non-compliance issues with new international maritime regulations.

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Navy seeks tanker replacement for Endeavour

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The top two floors of the three-story, 7,425-square-foot mansion at 360 Mountain Home Road in Woodside are reported to be resting on steel beams above a large empty space where the foundation, basement and first floor used to be. It's been an active construction site for months, but now its future, including the lowering of those upper floors onto new first-floor framing, is uncertain.

As of July 3, the site was posted with a stop-work notice from the town. The Planning Commission had approved the project in November 2013 as a remodel. But, alerted by staff about the missing floors, the commission met on July 2 to discuss whether actions at the site were consistent with what had been approved.

The mansion made news in November 2012 when it was sold for $117.5 million, a new U.S. record for a single-family home, according to news reports at the time. Staff reports list the owner of the 8.74-acre property as SV Projects LLC.

After a lengthy public hearing that included testimony from construction managers, the commission voted 6-1 to continue the matter to a date uncertain and referred it to the planning director, who then issued the stop-work order. Commissioner Elizabeth Hobson dissented.

Included in the vote was a recommendation to send the project back to the Architectural and Site Review Board, essentially back to square one. The remodel, according to some commissioners, had evolved into a demolition.

Planning Director Jackie Young told the Almanac that the original resolution will be returning to the Planning Commission along with an "alternate resolution of denial" based on the July 2 discussion.

More massive

Original plans called for replacing the white wooden siding on the main house with beige stone siding, installing roofs of gray slate, and adding oval windows in various locations. An upper-floor balcony would be enclosed under a slate dome.

Those are the plans being implemented, Noel Manerud of the Mill Valley firm Van Acker Construction told the commission. The missing first floor reflects the need to strengthen the framing, as does the missing foundation, he said.

Such insights came through "discovery" as the project advanced, Mr. Manerud said. The commission caught the project at a "moment in time," he said. "We needed to temporarily remove that framing which was in place on the main level to ... restore it, augment it. ... We're effectively caught mid-stream between that temporary removal and installation of shoring (to support the stone walls)."

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Woodside halts work at mansion

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